Skip to main content
MANIFOLD
Will Colorado Amendment 82 (constitutional right to natural gas) be approved in the November 3, 2026 election?
50%
chance

This market resolves YES if Colorado Amendment 82 (Right to Natural Gas) is approved by voters at the November 3, 2026 general election under its official approval rule:

55% of votes cast on the measure (Colo. Const. art. V §1(4)(b)); SOS: 'Requires 55% approval because it adds language to the state constitution'

Only the November 3, 2026 vote counts; earlier votes on similar proposals do not. YES means voter approval at this election, not that the measure is later implemented.

What the votes mean (official summary):

  • YES: Adds a constitutional right to purchase and sell natural gas for cooking/heating.

  • NO: No such constitutional right; natural gas use remains governed by statute and regulation.

Results: resolves on the result certified by Colorado Secretary of State (official statewide canvass); takes effect on Governor's proclamation. It may resolve earlier once official returns or the Associated Press show the outcome cannot change and no recount is pending; if a recount or certified correction changes the outcome before resolution, the certified result controls.

No vote: if the measure is removed from the ballot, a court orders its votes not to be counted, or the vote is postponed beyond November 3, 2026, the market resolves N/A.

Later legal challenges: resolution follows voter approval as certified. A court later invalidating, enjoining or delaying the measure does not change the resolution.

Starting probability: 50% is a neutral starting seed, not a forecast.

Official source: https://www.coloradosos.gov/pubs/elections/Initiatives/ballot/contacts/2026.html

Get
Ṁ1,000
to start trading!