Will we have a Messi vs Ronaldo final?
8%
chance

Resolves yes if it is Argentina vs Portugal in the grand finals on the 18th of December.

Messi and Ronaldo must both play, I'll also make an exception if one is injured but is seen actively coaching/inspiring the team from the sidelines.

See 2016 Euro Finals where it happened to Ronaldo:

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egroj avatar
JAAM
is predicting NO at 10%

I think that this one is overestimated, probabilities of Argentina and Portugal making it to the final are around 24% and 33%, respectively, in both 538 and this market below (have to multiply by 2 the probabilities there because two answers are selected), since the events are more or less independent this market should be around 8%

egroj avatar
JAAM
is predicting NO at 10%

@egroj and... it's fixed 😂

TomekKolotom avatar