Will any FTE leave?
Manifold's 2023 Predictions•New Year's Resolutions 2024
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370
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resolved Jan 12
Resolved
NO

Will any full time employees (excluding founders) part ways with Manifold before the end of the year? This includes current FTE as well as any new hires made in 2023.

This market is part of Manifold's 2023 Predictions, a group of forecasts about what's in store for Manifold this year. Markets will be resolved by the Manifold core team.

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bought Ṁ55 of YES

Not that I want anyone to leave, of course, but it's a little undersold when there's still a quarter left in the year IMO

bought Ṁ0 of NO

@PipFoweraker Left a limit order for you at 40%

bought Ṁ25 of YES

I'm stunned by how low this is - based on prior experience young smart people move around a lot. I'd be surprised if this hasn't resolved positive by the summer

bought Ṁ50 of NO

@ElliotDavies current thoughts?

predicted NO

I was surprised by how high this market is trading so I made the following: /ian/given-a-fte-employee-leaves-manifol

bought Ṁ10 of NO

@ian Should this go into https://manifold.markets/group/manifolds-2023-predictions?

predicted YES

Turnover at startups is pretty high, which I think is the assumption most people are using as a baseline

How many FTE's do you have?

predicted NO

@Boklam Aside from the 3 founders, there are 4 FTE's!

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