Will a psychedelic drug be decriminalized/legalized in at least one more US state in 2022?
59
57
860
resolved Dec 14
Resolved
YES
From Vox Future Perfect’s predictions for 2022: https://www.vox.com/future-perfect/22824620/predicting-midterms-covid-roe-wade-oscars-2022 Resolved according to Vox’s judgment, as given through future posts.
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bought Ṁ100 of YES

Resolving this yes as us coloradans did legalize psyilocybin this year unless I’m missing something

predicted YES
bought Ṁ51 of YES

Unless I'm missing something, this is a shoe-in for a yes. I bought it up to 80% but it looks like the remainder of the way up is free money

@akrasiac Shoo-in

predicted YES

@anne Indeed. I think "shoe-in" falls in the category of respectable misspelling. But as a fellow pedant I appreciate your nitpicking!

@akrasiac I love that you nitpicked my nitpicking :)

bought Ṁ50 of NO

See here for a somewhat up to date tracker of US state psychedelic legislation. https://psychedelicalpha.com/data/psychedelic-laws

bought Ṁ250 of YES

@TW Doesn't this website pretty clearly state that Colorado decrminialized psilocybin this year, fulfilling the prediction of Vox? From the Vox article it seems like this is the sort of thing they had in mind.

bought Ṁ100 of YES

@akrasiac The only counterargument I see is that this won't actually be implemented until after 2022. But I think Vox is going to count that as a yes resolution, since they gave an example of what success would look like: California voters passing a ballot initiative. That's evidently exactly what happened in Colorado.

predicted NO

@akrasiac Yes I think you're right, and my bet was wrong - I hadn't read the Vox page closely enough (ballot matters, not implementation), which I should've done before betting. Also I was behind the times and hadn't read the legislation tracker recently enough.