Episode 4 of Manifold: Live! will air on Tuesday 2023-12-26 at 2pm PT with @chrisjbillington and @RobertCousineau! We usually do shows on Sunday afternoons (in PT), but apparently a lot of people are busy for a couple of days around then 🤷 so we're doing an irregular Tuesday episode.
This market will work slightly differently to our previous suggestion markets - we will resolve answers YES if they lead to a good discussion, NO if they don't, and N/A if we don't get around to it. Hopefully, this will make the best topics rise to the top!
We'll also award Ṁ100 to anyone who suggests an answer that resolves YES (as well as arbitrary prizes for good audience-ing)! We're looking to focus a bit less on discussion and a bit more on fun for this episode, so suggest any games you want to watch us play or bet on live.
Watch the show on:
The co-hosts will allocate a budget of Ṁ100 to make token bets on options here.
Follow this account for updates on the show!
1,000
3.00@oh there's a much earlier comment from NC that the delay wouldn't make it feasible
I could be talked into a spontaneous choir at our meetup to make up for this, though? :)
Including basically anything on the Argentina dashboard. I like my questions, of course (that's why I wrote them):
/EvanDaniel/will-inflation-in-argentina-be-less
/EvanDaniel/will-inflation-in-argentina-for-202
/EvanDaniel/will-the-unemployment-rate-in-argen-dc7a6fed1f4e
But basically I think Milei and his policies are a hotly debated topic with unusually high likelihood of being able to figure out whether they worked or not. High likelihood of seeing drastic economic changes with macro-visible impacts in the near future, and changes of a nature that people on the Internet like to pontificate about.
@Joshua these are good topics to discuss, but also intended as bet suggestions.
https://manifold.markets/ManifoldLive/manifold-live-episode-4-what-would#RJWEAKtZG0MX35bfZsvv
Last minute new plans! Marcus is going to come on the show and we're going to try to get some big bets made.
Starts at 2 Pacific, so about an hour from now! Twitch channel here.