Episode 4 of Manifold: Live! will air on Tuesday 2023-12-26 at 2pm PT with @chrisjbillington and @RobertCousineau! We usually do shows on Sunday afternoons (in PT), but apparently a lot of people are busy for a couple of days around then 🤷 so we're doing an irregular Tuesday episode.
This market will work slightly differently to our previous suggestion markets - we will resolve answers YES if they lead to a good discussion, NO if they don't, and N/A if we don't get around to it. Hopefully, this will make the best topics rise to the top!
We'll also award á¹€100 to anyone who suggests an answer that resolves YES (as well as arbitrary prizes for good audience-ing)! We're looking to focus a bit less on discussion and a bit more on fun for this episode, so suggest any games you want to watch us play or bet on live.
Watch the show on:
The co-hosts will allocate a budget of á¹€100 to make token bets on options here.
Follow this account for updates on the show!
1,000
3.00@oh there's a much earlier comment from NC that the delay wouldn't make it feasible
I could be talked into a spontaneous choir at our meetup to make up for this, though? :)
Including basically anything on the Argentina dashboard. I like my questions, of course (that's why I wrote them):
/EvanDaniel/will-inflation-in-argentina-be-less
/EvanDaniel/will-inflation-in-argentina-for-202
/EvanDaniel/will-the-unemployment-rate-in-argen-dc7a6fed1f4e
But basically I think Milei and his policies are a hotly debated topic with unusually high likelihood of being able to figure out whether they worked or not. High likelihood of seeing drastic economic changes with macro-visible impacts in the near future, and changes of a nature that people on the Internet like to pontificate about.
@Joshua these are good topics to discuss, but also intended as bet suggestions.
https://manifold.markets/ManifoldLive/manifold-live-episode-4-what-would#RJWEAKtZG0MX35bfZsvv
Last minute new plans! Marcus is going to come on the show and we're going to try to get some big bets made.
Starts at 2 Pacific, so about an hour from now! Twitch channel here.