How to play
People post images in comments and add an answer for each one
Other people vote on images by hearting/grinching comments
Other people buy shares in images they think will get a high score
In the end, we calculate the scores independently for each market
Each individual entry (i.e. one image+comment) will have its own score, based on what happens below.
How to play
Create an image
Make up a name for it
Post an answer for it, like "<Title of the image> - <Your name>"
Then reply to the image if you'd like, that way that answer is linked to your comment
In the reply comment, paste in the image, and add the title, so people can connect to it!
How to play - voting
Vote by adding a heart to the comment of the image
Also if you think an image is good, buy shares in it
You can also add a "Grinch comment" where you post a 😠 in reply to an image. But you can only add one of them for every image you upload, and also for every one you post, all of your images get a -1% score. If you have too many grinch comments I'll hide the later ones.
Scoring:
Add together your subscore in each category to get your final score. Then change the "points" to "percent". If your final score is >100, it resolves to 100%.
Number of Hearts on your comment w/the image
1 => +10 points
2 => +20 points
5 => +30 points
10 => +40 points
20 => +50 points
100 => +60 points
Price of your image multiple choice entry at close of market
at or above 20% => +5 points
at or above 50% => +7 points
at or above 90% => +10 points
Additional bonuses
highest price of all entries => an additional +2 points
scrooge award: lowest value of all entries => an additional +5 points
Number of Hearts on your image comment Ranking (in addition to the above)
most hearts => +50 points
2nd most hearts => +30 points
3-5th most hearts => +20 points
6-10th most hearts => +10 points
Grinch comments 😠 Received on your post
for every 1 => -10 points on your image
Grinch comments you've made 😠:
-1 points on all of your own image submissions.
Number of identifiable individual manifold people in your image
+2 points for each one; make claims about this in your submission and they'll be judged
Other
I reserve the right to add more rules as we go; rules will generally be positive in terms of score output.
Rewards
In addition to mana profits, I will send Christmas Mana presents to the top 10 points scorers in this market:
1st place: 1000 mana
2nd place: 500 mana
3-5th place: 300 mana
6-10th place: 200 mana
Theme:
"Interesting things that happened on Manifold in the year 2023, etc."
or
"2023, Manifold's best year so far"
To create AI art:
This is a free version of dalle-3 which is free: https://www.bing.com/images/create
you can pay 20$/month and use chatGPT or dalle-3 (better, 2 images at once) on openai's website: https://chat.openai.com/g/g-2fkFE8rbu-dall-e
you can join midjourney which is pretty great too, and that's cheap, via discord! In a lot of ways this is the best one; way faster, unlimited, much less censorship. But, it's a bit less accurate in composition than the others.
1,000
3.00Thanks for playing, and congrats to the winners.
What I learned: it's a real pain doing this manually; I should have had a sheet. I didn't realize til halfway through that I'd better do it in a spreadsheet and run it that way, and also that I couldn't reresolve individual options.
Note: if you lost a few mana, I'm sorry about that. If you need the mana please message me and I'll send it.
Entries - rank, name, number of hearts on comment
1 deleveraging 12
2 whale's fate 10
3 live 7 claim of 2 people
3 peaceful christmas 7
5 manifold predicts 6
6 learning market dynamics 5
9 hopeful early days - 4
9 two ji 4 claim of 2
9 hopeful 4
11 pop star 2
11 digitail 2
13 most prized - 1
@Ernie Thanks for doing this, It was an interesting application of Manifolds usage with your added mathematical calculations. I would be intrigued how this could be applied in a similar way to other types of markets down the road.
Again, thanks!
@SirCryptomind Thanks! I have a couple markets now with horrifyingly complex implied calculations required to resolve. /Ernie/rosen-score-of-weird-thing-that-wil
Some of these are insane. I'm going to end up writing a game pgn parser to evaluate them. But that should be fun anyway.
