Basic
66
22k
resolved Jan 12
Resolved
NO

Will any full time employees (excluding founders) part ways with Manifold before the end of the year? This includes current FTE as well as any new hires made in 2023.


This market is part of Manifold's 2023 Predictions, a group of forecasts about what's in store for Manifold this year. Markets will be resolved by the Manifold core team.

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Not that I want anyone to leave, of course, but it's a little undersold when there's still a quarter left in the year IMO

@PipFoweraker Left a limit order for you at 40%

I'm stunned by how low this is - based on prior experience young smart people move around a lot. I'd be surprised if this hasn't resolved positive by the summer

@ElliotDavies current thoughts?

predicted NO

I was surprised by how high this market is trading so I made the following: /ian/given-a-fte-employee-leaves-manifol

predicted YES

Turnover at startups is pretty high, which I think is the assumption most people are using as a baseline

How many FTE's do you have?

predicted NO

@Boklam Aside from the 3 founders, there are 4 FTE's!