Will any FTE leave? | Manifold

Will any FTE leave?

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resolved Jan 12

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Will any full time employees (excluding founders) part ways with Manifold before the end of the year? This includes current FTE as well as any new hires made in 2023.

This market is part of Manifold's 2023 Predictions, a group of forecasts about what's in store for Manifold this year. Markets will be resolved by the Manifold core team.

This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.

#Manifold's 2023 Predictions

#New Year's Resolutions 2024

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Not that I want anyone to leave, of course, but it's a little undersold when there's still a quarter left in the year IMO

@PipFoweraker Left a limit order for you at 40%

I'm stunned by how low this is - based on prior experience young smart people move around a lot. I'd be surprised if this hasn't resolved positive by the summer

@ElliotDavies current thoughts?

predicted NO

I was surprised by how high this market is trading so I made the following: /ian/given-a-fte-employee-leaves-manifol

@ian Should this go into https://manifold.markets/group/manifolds-2023-predictions?

predicted YES

Turnover at startups is pretty high, which I think is the assumption most people are using as a baseline

How many FTE's do you have?

predicted NO

@Boklam Aside from the 3 founders, there are 4 FTE's!

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Related questions

Which CEOs will leave their jobs?

Will these part-time employees of Manifold become full-time employees before 2025?

Will >5% of an FTX grant be clawed back, from >2 individual workers, by end of 2026?

Will Thomas leave next?

Will Manifold be forced to let go of any employees due to funding constraints by the end of 2024?

Will at least one FTX exec disappear?

Will Shawn Fain be gone as the president of the UAW before EOY 2024?

Which of these CEOs will leave their office first?

Will Twitch announce a FOURTH reduction of employees within two years? (by EOY 2024)

Will @case still be working for his current company at the end of the year?

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