Will 2023's most popular market be resolved mostly based on someone’s opinion?
Manifold's 2023 Predictions•New Year's Resolutions 2024
44
254
Ṁ910
resolved Jan 16
Resolved
NO

"Popular" here refers to "most unique traders".

Question courtesy of @ian, whose opinion we're using to resolve "whether the market is based on someone's opinion".

This market is part of Manifold's 2023 Predictions, a group of forecasts about what's in store for Manifold this year. Markets will be resolved by the Manifold core team.

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bought Ṁ100 of NO

Hard to imagine a market like that beating LK-99's >5K traders.

bought Ṁ70 of YES

what if most popular market is non-resolving like the stonks?

@Sinclair lol that does feel a lot like an opinion but they don’t resolve…

@ian We should probably make a separate market for that

@Sinclair that would resolve this market NO, right? A market can't resolve based on someone's opinion if it doesn't resolve.

The intent here is to distinguish the market from an event type market. I imagine this as a ‘will I think this’ or other opinion-based market.

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