Which new AI models will be released in January 2025?
Basic
13
𝕊233
Feb 1
10%
OpenAI flagship language model (ie. gpt-5)
19%
Open AI o3
76%
Open AI o3-mini
26%
OpenAI video generation
33%
OpenAI image generation
28%
OpenAI (other)*
20%
Anthropic flagship language model**
31%
Anthropic reasoning language model***
29%
Anthropic (other)****
26%
Midjourney
21%
Nvidia
33%
Google
26%
Microsoft
34%
Meta
32%
Amazon large language model
27%
XAI language
22%
XAI image generation

Released = available to some portion of the public (including a subset of subscribers or a limited number of API developers from members of the public). Released only for safety testing does not count.

New model = Either announced by the company as a new model, is clear from numbering/naming it is a distinct model, or able to be selected from some sort of menu as a distinct model. Something like "o1 extra mini" would count as while it is part of o1 it can be considered a distinct model in this market.

Please note that any model which came out this month prior to market creation will not count (a new model from the company should come out for the answer to resolve to yes). For example Nvidia's recently released AI called Cosmos will not count towards this market.

Must be released before January 31st 11:59pm PST. If it is announced but not yet released to any members of the public it will not count.

*OpenAI (other) refers to any model that is not their new flagship model (eg. gpt 5), o3, or o3-mini, a video generator, or an image generator. It could be a derivative of another language model or some other type of model such as a voice generator.

**Anthropic flagship language model refers to a model comparable to claude 3.5 or gpt-4o that should outperform claude 3.5 sonnet on a majority of performance benchmarks. This should not be a reasoning model.

***Anthropic reasoning model refers to a model that is not considered their everyday task model and is akin to what OpenAI's O1 is to gpt-4o.

****Anthropic (any other) refers to any model that is not a reasoning model nor their new flagship model. For example, it could be a derivative of an existing language model or a different type of AI model entirely.

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Would Gemini 2 Pro be a new model? "Gemini-Exp 1206" may be a preview version of Gemini 2 Pro, but Google might not confirm that.

I feel like there’s an insane amount of sweeps money sitting on the table here

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