Tracks the Favorable percentage in VoteHub’s published time-weighted JD Vance favorability polling average.

This is the percentage viewing JD Vance favorably—not net favorability, approval, or a probability.

Manifold checks VoteHub every 5 minutes and updates the oracle whenever VoteHub’s value changes. Historical chart points come from VoteHub’s published daily series.

Because polling may be relatively sparse, the value can remain flat for extended periods and then move in larger steps. If no sufficiently fresh and valid value can be published for 30 hours, trading pauses.

Source: https://votehub.com/polls/?poll=vance_favorability

Licensed under CC BY 4.0.