How much will be donated through Manifold for Charity in total, by July 15?

12

43

Ṁ1.6K

resolved Aug 22

1D

1W

1M

ALL

0.1%

$5000 - $6000

1.5%

$6000 - $8000

74%

$8000 - $10k

15%

$10k - $15k

4%

$15k - $20k

4%

$20k - $25k

0.6%

$25k - $35k

0.2%

$35k - $50k

0.2%

$50k+

A continuation of https://manifold.markets/ManifoldMarkets/total-donations-for-manifold-for-go. Let's forecast how much Manifold users will donate over the next ~30ish days! The twist this time: thanks to the generosity of the FTX Future Fund, we're able to provide a donation matching pool, allocated via quadratic funding. This matching pool will grow in size proportional to the total amount donated, up to a maximum of $25k USD by the market close date. All amounts are in USD. Only answers created by this account are eligible. Buckets are exclusive on the top end; eg exactly $6000 would resolve to the $6000-$8000 bucket, not $5000-$6000. Jun 13, 9:05pm: Market resolves to the total amount raised on https://manifold.markets/charity; donation matching does not count for this market.

Get Ṁ500 play money

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@ManifoldMarkets Reminder to resolve this!

Numeric market version of this! https://manifold.markets/jack/how-much-will-be-donated-through-ma-5f9ea0df6668

Related questions

What changes to my Manifold dashboard, if made, will result in it being awarded at least $500 from the Community Fund?

How much will Manifold for Charity have donated by end of 2023?

Who will appear on "Manifold: Live!", our weekly show for the Manifold Community Fund initiative?

Will my proposal to the Manifold Community Fund be funded?

What will be true of the Manifold Dating app (Manifold Love)?

What name will we choose for the Manifold merchandise store?

When will Manifold have a Wikipedia article?

How can manifold.love be improved?

Will the Manifold Discord Betting Bot have a major bug before Christmas?

In a year, will I think Manifold has been a good use of my time?

If @TobiasVyseri and I set up a Manifold merch store, will at least 10 people place orders within three months?

Will Manifold release a Manifold.Love app by EOY?

If there is a Manifold Live Show on Discord/Twitch/YouTube, what recurring segments will it include?

If Manifold starts a crowdfunding campaign on Republic, how much will we raise?

Will Manifold outperform Metaculus in 2023 ACX contest?

Will Manifold get a better Brier score than the median answers of Blind Mode participants in the ACX 2023 prediction contest?

Will Manifold remove the ban on "automated use of the system" from its terms of service before the end of 2023?

Will I get feedback from Manifold users that leads me to notably change my interpersonal behavior on here?

Are donations on Manifold counterfactual?

Manifold Should Open Source Its Code

Patrick Delaney