[POLAND] Poland's 2025 presidential runoff victory margin under 1%?
6
100Ṁ79Jun 2
40%
chance
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
This market predicts whether the margin of victory in Poland's presidential runoff election on June 1, 2025, will be less than 1%. The first round held on May 18, 2025, resulted in a narrow lead for Rafał Trzaskowski over Karol Nawrocki. The market resolves to 'YES' if the official results from the National Electoral Commission show a margin of victory under 1%. Otherwise, it resolves to 'NO'.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get 
1,000 to start trading!
1,000People are also trading
Related questions
Will Rafał Trzaskowski win the 2025 presidential elections in Poland?
62% chance
[POLAND] Will the winner of presidential elections in 2025 get less than 51% of votes in the runoff?
32% chance
Poland: Will PiS popularity drop below 25% in 2025?
46% chance
Candidate from which Party will become the next president of Poland in 2025?
Poland: Will PiS popularity drop below 25% in 2025?
32% chance
Who will win 2025 Polish presidential election?
Who will win the 2025 Polish presidential election?
Poland: Will Mata (Michał Matczak) become a President of Poland?
3% chance
Who will win the next parliamentary election in Poland?
Rafał Trzaskowski will win the 2025 Polish Presidential Election
61% chance