Resolution criteria
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the S&P 500 Index's closing value on Nov 30, 2025, is within 1% of its all-time high.
If the market reaches a new all time high, that will be what the market must be within 1% of for the market to resolve to "Yes." If the closing value falls outside this range, the market will resolve to "No.". If the market closes exactly 1% below all time high this will resolve to 50%
Update 2025-10-13 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): "Within 1%" means: closing value > 0.99 × all-time high
(Not: 1.01 × closing value > all-time high)
[AI additions after this are not necessarily correct]
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@z3ht this does not include after hours trading as “close” happens before after hours. Today’s close is in fact the last closing price we will get in November.
@Magnify "closing value on Nov 30, 2025," well that's Sunday, so today's close: 6849.09
The ATH was 6920.34, and 0.99*6920.34=6,851.137, so November (today's) close was NOT within 1%... by a hair!
@deagol the market specifically says “at the end of November”. This includes after hours trading.
@z3ht lol it's an index it doesn't "trade" its value is a formula only disseminated during regular hours. note that futures, options, ETFs, etc provided by several platforms that may try to replicate its returns is not the index.
@z3ht this does not include after hours trading as “close” happens before after hours. Today’s close is in fact the last closing price we will get in November.