By January 2026, will a language model with similar performance to GPT-4 be able to run locally on the latest iPhone? | Manifold

By January 2026, will a language model with similar performance to GPT-4 be able to run locally on the latest iPhone?

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What model are y'all running now?

Are y'all betting on inference being much cheaper or iPhones being much better?

predictedYES

@NivlacM Model size at same performance coming down by a lot. There are currently models with 7-30B parameters that are in the ballpark of GPT-3.5 quality (which was likely ~175B params) https://huggingface.co/spaces/lmsys/chatbot-arena-leaderboard

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