So far all paintings targeted by activists have suffered at worst minor, superficial damage. This question resolves to YES if at least one famous work of art (not its frame, case or stand) in a museum, gallery or private collection is significantly damaged by Just Stop Oil activists before the end of 2022. 'Famous' and 'significant' will be subjectively assessed based on relevant press reports.
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The only candidate for actual damage I could find was this one. I’m inclined to think the damage was not significant, despite the court’s decision, since the painting was displayed again very promptly after the action, but I’ll hear counterarguments before resolving.
@NicoDelon This article mentions only minor damage to the frame and varnish https://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/2022/07/04/just-stop-oil-protesters-john-constable-painting-hay-wain/