Resolution criteria

This market resolves to YES if Jason Arday is no longer employed by the University of Cambridge in any academic capacity (including as a professor, lecturer, or researcher) on or before December 31, 2027.

The market resolves to NO if he remains employed by the University of Cambridge as of December 31, 2027.

• Source of Truth: Employment status will be verified using the official University of Cambridge Faculty of Education staff directory or via official statements from the University of Cambridge and major reputable news outlets (such as The Guardian, The Telegraph, or Times Higher Education).

• Leaves of Absence: If Professor Arday is on a temporary sabbatical, suspension, or medical leave of absence but remains officially on the university payroll, the market resolves to NO.

• Termination/Resignation: If he permanently leaves his role due to resignation, termination, retirement, or transfer to another institution, the market resolves to YES.

• Death: In the event of his death before the resolution date, the market will resolve to YES.

Background

Jason Arday (born 1985) is a British sociologist who was appointed Professor of Sociology of Education at the University of Cambridge in March 2023, making him the youngest Black professor in the university's history.

In July and August 2026, Arday became the center of a major academic controversy following public allegations of extensive plagiarism in his PhD thesis and other academic papers. While some university investigations and academic journals had previously cleared him of wrongdoing, renewed media scrutiny and pressure from other academics have raised questions regarding his future tenure at Cambridge.

This description was partly generated by AI.