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MANIFOLD
In which US states will hurricanes make landfall this Atlantic season?
14
Ṁ650Ṁ5.8k
Nov 30
3%
Louisiana
3%
Texas
2%
South Carolina
1.9%
North Carolina
1.9%
Georgia
1.7%
Alabama
1.6%
Mississippi
1%
New Hampshire
1%
Delaware
1%
Connecticut
1%
New York
1%
New Jersey
1%
Rhode Island
1%
Massachusetts
Resolved
YES
Florida

Only Atlantic/Gulf. Only storms with hurricane force winds at time of landfall according to NHC advisories. Only during official season (June 1 - November 30).

Weather
2026 Hurricane Season
Hurricanes
Extreme Weather
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bought Ṁ224 NO
Isaias made landfall as a 90-kt hurricane at 0130 UTC near Destin,
Florida.
https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/archive/2026/al09/al092026.discus.014.shtml

Not much liquidity at Kalshi and no market here but Polo is about to go monster big, and fast

@ScottSupak /MachiNi/will-a-hurricane-make-landfall-in-a-QzIzSZSuS0

bought Ṁ100 NO

Could add the west coast to this, especially Hawaii

@ScottSupak no, that would contradict both title and description

@MachiNi sorry, I meant as another market, just generally speaking

@ScottSupak oh yeah. I haven’t been tracking the pacific season too closely. Hawaï already got a near miss.

@MachiNi Might get another one too! Plenty of warm water out there, lol.

Polo's about to go off, probably a C5. Heads up, Baja.

reposted

The season is about to start

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