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MANIFOLD
Will a hurricane make landfall in a US state (Pacific)?
2
Ṁ300Ṁ17
Dec 31
43%
chance

Only Pacific (including Hawaï but excluding territories). Only storms with hurricane force winds at time of landfall according to NHC advisories. Only during official season (June 1 - November 30).

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Hurricanes
2026 Hurricane Season
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Should define Hawaii as the furthest west is Ni'ihau or something along those lines, like Kalshi. The state's territory actually stretches out pretty far iirc.

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