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MANIFOLD
First tropical storm of the Atlantic season makes landfall
4
Ṁ200Ṁ63
Nov 30
50%
chance

Resolution criteria

This market resolves to YES if the first tropical storm (or stronger system) to be officially designated by the National Hurricane Center (NHC) makes landfall in any location during the current Atlantic hurricane season. It resolves to NO otherwise.

Landfall is defined as the center of the storm's eye moving over land. The official designation, tracking, and landfall confirmation by the National Hurricane Center (NHC) will serve as the sole source of truth.

Background

The Atlantic hurricane season officially runs from June 1 through November 30. Tropical cyclones are classified as tropical storms when they exhibit a cyclonic circulation and maximum sustained winds of 39–73 mph. Landfall criteria depend on the specific storm's path as recorded in the NHC's post-season archive and active storm reports.

This description was generated by AI.

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filled a Ṁ30 YES at 70% order🤖
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