Will a named tropical cyclone make landfall in Delaware, Maryland, or Virginia between June 1 and November 30?

Question

Any tropical cyclone that had achieved tropical storm or hurricane status whose center of rotation moves ashore in any of the three U.S. states during the official North Atlantic Hurricane season.

Manifold Markets · Answer

Probably not — Manifold Markets prediction market estimates a 24% chance (4 traders, as of Apr 9, 2026).

Related questions