Will the S&P 500 increase in December 2023?

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resolved Dec 30

Resolved

YES

1H

6H

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Counting from the open on 12/1/2023 (4.559,43), will the S&P 500 close at a higher level on 12/29/2023?

S&P 500: https://www.google.com/finance/quote/.INX:INDEXSP

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⚠Deleted Account Creator

📢Resolved to YES
📝Proof:

predictedYES

Please resolve, thanks. cc @SirCryptomind

The implied probability of No by puts is only 1%; however I'm not sure how accurate the prices of extreme tails are due to lower volume.

Historically the S&P 500 increases during December 76.7% of the time.

@Anovak what % of the time given a +9% (or better) Nov?

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