Will there be a VR/AR bubble by 2029?
7
470Ṁ260
2029
40%
chance

I will use my judgement to determine the following criteria.

  • Meta valuation is over $1T

  • IPOs of AR/VR companies are happening

  • Companies' stocks are soaring 20%+ because they announced something AR/VR related

  • There is an AR/VR decacorn (private startup with more than $10B valuation)

  • The specialized press reports that venture capitalists are hiring VR/AR focused specialists and/or making dedicated AR/VR funds

  • There are famous investors and market commentators calling AR/VR a bubble

  • Sell-side analysts are writing reports that companies, including Apple, could have $100B+ in AR/VR market capitalization

I will settle to YES if at least 4 of the conditions above are met.

Stocks
Meta (Facebook)
Virtual Reality
Investing
Metaverse
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