Will Sam Altman tweet saying bad things about OpenAI board by the end of the day?
Will Sam Altman tweet saying bad things about OpenAI board by the end of the day?
32
705Ṁ3783resolved Nov 18
Resolved
NO1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
If Sam Altman tweets by midnight SF time saying bad things about the OpenAI board, this market resolves to YES.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get 
1,000 to start trading!
1,000🏅 Top traders
| # | Name | Total profit |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ṁ31 | |
| 2 | Ṁ21 | |
| 3 | Ṁ17 | |
| 4 | Ṁ15 | |
| 5 | Ṁ14 |
What is this?
What is Manifold?
Manifold is the world's largest social prediction market.
Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.
Or create your own play-money betting market on any question you care about.
Are our predictions accurate?
Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like betting still use Manifold to get reliable news.
Why use play money?
Why use play money?Mana (Ṁ) is the play-money currency used to bet on Manifold. It cannot be converted to cash. All users start with Ṁ1,000 for free.
Play money means it's much easier for anyone anywhere in the world to get started and try out forecasting without any risk. It also means there's more freedom to create and bet on any type of question.
People are also trading
What is this?
What is Manifold?
Manifold is the world's largest social prediction market.
Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.
Or create your own play-money betting market on any question you care about.
Are our predictions accurate?
Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like betting still use Manifold to get reliable news.
Why use play money?
Why use play money?Mana (Ṁ) is the play-money currency used to bet on Manifold. It cannot be converted to cash. All users start with Ṁ1,000 for free.
Play money means it's much easier for anyone anywhere in the world to get started and try out forecasting without any risk. It also means there's more freedom to create and bet on any type of question.
Related questions
Will Sam Altman be the CEO of OpenAI at the end of 2025?
93% chance
Will Sam Altman cease to be CEO of OpenAI before the end of 2025?
7% chance
Will Sam Altman still be CEO of OpenAI at the end of 2027?
76% chance
Will Sam Altman still be CEO of OpenAI at the end of 2026?
82% chance
Will Sam Altman leverage OpenAI's success to substantial personal gain?
84% chance
Will Sam Altman leave open AI before 2026?
8% chance
Will Sam Altman leave open AI before 2027?
25% chance