Will Manifold introduce some feature to encourage betting in conditional markets by the end of 2023?
18
410Ṁ2262
resolved Jan 1
Resolved
NO

Conditional markets are those that are resolved to N/A if some other stuff doesn't happen (If Trump run and the major networks calls him to have lost, will he win when they count the votes in Congress?).

The problem with those markets is that it consumes a lot of Mana. For certain markets, when the odds of the market ever being resolved are very low (If Russia uses nukes in Ukraine, will the US join the war?), Manifold participants have low incentives to make the probabilities correct.

This market will resolve to YES if by the end of 23, Manifold tried to alleviate the situation with some first class citizen feature.

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