When will the Bank of Japan pivot?
10
Ṁ1kṀ9.2kresolved Jun 17
100%99.6%
H1 2024
0.1%
H2 2023
0.1%
H2 2024
0.1%
H1 2025
0.1%
H2 2025
0.1%
H1 2026
0.1%
H2 2026
0.1%
2027 or later
This market resolves to the period when the Bank of Japan one of the next 3 things happens
Ends yield curve control
Raise interest rates
Hikes the upper targer of Yield curve control to at least 1.5%
This market will resolve to 2027 or later on January 1st 2027 if not resolved by then.
I may bet on this market.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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No pivot at the last meeting of 2023:
Bank of Japan leaves negative rates and YCC 1% ceiling rate unchanged
Bank of Japan announces their main policy planks remain in place untouched, as expected.
USD/JPY has jumped sharply higher.
Maintains short-term interest rate target at -0.1%
Maintains 10-year JGB yield target around 0%, with 1% upper reference rate kept unchanged
YCC decision unanimous
BOJ makes no change to forward guidance