Skip to main content
MANIFOLD
Will there be a Al Smith dinner with both presidential candidates attending and delivering stand-up routines in 2024?
13
Ṁ1kṀ1.5k
resolved Oct 21
Resolved
NO

Since 1960, when John F. Kennedy (who would become the first Roman Catholic president) and Richard Nixon were speakers, it has been a stop for the two main presidential candidates during several U.S. election years.[5] In 1976, Jimmy Carter and Gerald Ford spoke; in 1980, Carter and Ronald Reagan; in 1988, George H. W. Bush and Michael Dukakis; in 2000, Al Gore[6] and George W. Bush;[7] in 2008, Barack Obama and John McCain;[8] in 2012, Barack Obama[9] and Mitt Romney[10] in 2016, Hillary Clinton and Donald Trump;[11] and in 2020, Trump and Joe Biden.[12] Candidates have traditionally given humorous speeches[13] poking fun at themselves and their opponents, making the event similar to a roast. The 2018 dinner raised $3.9 million.

This market resolves to YES if the dinner happens and candidates of the two main parties deliver stand-up routines. This market resolves to NO at the election day.

Market context
Get
Ṁ1,000
to start trading!

🏅 Top traders

#TraderTotal profit
1Ṁ349
2Ṁ211
3Ṁ6
4Ṁ5
5Ṁ5
Sort by:

Trump attended. But Kamala didn't.

Sad result