Will a direct military conflict happen between Iran and Israel before 1 April 2026?
3
Ṁ100Ṁ106Mar 31
72%
chance
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Resolves YES if Iran and Israel directly attack each other (missiles, drones, or military strikes) before the date. Resolves NO otherwise
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Market context
Get 
1,000 to start trading!
1,000People are also trading
Related questions
Will there be a ceasefire announced between US/Israel and Iran between 11th and 15th March 2026?
1% chance
What will happen relating to Iran before April 1, 2026?
If Israel strikes Iran by March 31, 2026, will the Iranian regime fall in 2026?
30% chance
Iran directly attacks U.S. in 2026?