Resolution Criteria:

Resolve YES if the August 29, 2026 Icelandic referendum results in a majority of valid votes supporting the proposal to restart negotiations on Iceland joining the European Union.

Resolve NO if a majority of valid votes oppose restarting the negotiations.

The market concerns only the result of the August 29 referendum and does not depend on whether Iceland subsequently joins the European Union.

Resolution will be based on the official referendum results published by Icelandic authorities. Reuters, the Associated Press, or other highly reliable news organizations may be used for confirmation.

If the referendum is cancelled and no vote takes place, resolve N/A. If it is postponed, the market will remain open for resolution based on the rescheduled referendum, provided it takes place within 30 days of August 29.