Will The Russell 2000 (RUT) close higher on July 3rd than it closed on June 30th?
Will The Russell 2000 (RUT) close higher on July 3rd than it closed on June 30th?
8
50Ṁ1961resolved Jul 3
Resolved
YES1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
RUT closes at 1pm EDT but reports on 15 minute delay. Predictions close 14 minute after 1pm EDT.
Resolves according to the display at https://www.google.com/finance/quote/RUT:INDEXRUSSELL at the end of the trading day.
Resolves No If Closes Flat (Same close price as prior day)
If Google Has A Visual Error (eg. Green chart/negative closing price ; Red chart/positive closing price) This Will Resolve To The Closing Price Of Majority Same Numbers Reported By Yahoo/Marketwatch/WSJ/CNBC
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What is this?
What is Manifold?
Manifold is the world's largest social prediction market.
Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.
Or create your own play-money betting market on any question you care about.
Are our predictions accurate?
Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like betting still use Manifold to get reliable news.
Why use play money?
Why use play money?Mana (Ṁ) is the play-money currency used to bet on Manifold. It cannot be converted to cash. All users start with Ṁ1,000 for free.
Play money means it's much easier for anyone anywhere in the world to get started and try out forecasting without any risk. It also means there's more freedom to create and bet on any type of question.
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