Will the Three-Tier system of alcohol regulation be meaningfully reformed or dismantled before 2030?
Will the Three-Tier system of alcohol regulation be meaningfully reformed or dismantled before 2030?
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The three-tier alcohol distribution is the regulatory framework in the United States for what and how alcohol can be bought, shipped, and who can buy what where. Retailers and some savvy consumers heavily criticize it. Regulators generally are for staying with the status quo. Recent reports suggest Amazon has been lobbying to reform the laws to ship alcohol across state lines. This will resolve if a significant regulatory update, legislation, or court decision affects the three-tier framework.
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Related questions
What is this?
What is Manifold?
Manifold is the world's largest social prediction market.
Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.
Or create your own play-money betting market on any question you care about.
Are our predictions accurate?
Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like betting still use Manifold to get reliable news.
Why use play money?
Why use play money?Mana (Ṁ) is the play-money currency used to bet on Manifold. It cannot be converted to cash. All users start with Ṁ1,000 for free.
Play money means it's much easier for anyone anywhere in the world to get started and try out forecasting without any risk. It also means there's more freedom to create and bet on any type of question.
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