Background

The Nintendo Switch has been a massive commercial success, according to Wikipedia, selling 146 million units since its 2017 release (https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_best-selling_game_consoles/ https://www.nintendo.co.jp/ir/en/finance/hard_soft/index.html).

Resolution Criteria

This market will resolve YES if the total worldwide sales of the Nintendo Switch 2 exceed the total worldwide sales of the original Nintendo Switch by December 31, 2030. Resolution will be based on official sales figures reported by Nintendo or reliable industry sources.

Considerations (AI Generated)

• The Switch 2's success will depend on various factors, including:

  • Effective management of the transition from the original Switch

  • Convincing existing Switch owners to upgrade

  • Maintaining support for both platforms

• The original Switch's remarkable success sets a very high bar for its successor

• Market conditions and competition in the gaming industry may be different from when the original Switch launched

• The timeline until 2030 provides approximately 5-6 years of sales data, assuming a 2024/2025 release date