How many units will the Nintendo Switch 2 sell in 2025?
27
600แน€7243
Mar 3
99%
At least 11 million units
99%
At least 12 million units
92%
At least 13 million units
45%
At least 14 million units
47%
At least 15 million units
29%
At least 16 million units
29%
At least 17 million units
10%
At least 18 million units
10%
At least 19 million units
10%
At least 20 million units
9%
At least 21 million units
7%
At least 22 million units
6%
At least 23 million units
5%
At least 24 million units
5%
At least 25 million units
5%
At least 26 million units
5%
At least 27 million units
6%
At least 28 million units
6%
At least 29 million units
4%
At least 30 million units

Resolution will be based on Nintendo investor relations information releases. The release concering sales numbers up to the end of the calendar year usually comes out in February of the following year. Preliminary data from information releases in August and November 2025 which should have sales numbers up to the end of the first 3 and 6 months of the Japanese fiscal year will be used to resolve some answers early if applicable.

Please ask in the comments if you have any questions.

Market context
Gaming
Nintendo
Nintendo Switch
Nintendo Switch 2
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https://www.nintendo.co.jp/ir/pdf/2025/250801_2e.pdf

https://www.nintendo.co.jp/corporate/release/en/2025/250611.html

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sold แน€0 NO

1 million resolves yes.

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2% chance
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+6% 1d83% chance
Will a Nintendo Switch 2 budget model be released before 2029?
80% chance
How many copies will the best selling Nintendo Switch 2 game sell in 2025?
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98% chance
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