How many units will the Nintendo Switch 2 sell in 2025?
22
600Ṁ5536
2026
99.9%
At least 5 million units
99%
At least 6 million units
93%
At least 7 million units
40%
At least 8 million units
35%
At least 9 million units
30%
At least 10 million units
28%
At least 11 million units
28%
At least 12 million units
20%
At least 13 million units
23%
At least 14 million units
26%
At least 15 million units
26%
At least 16 million units
25%
At least 17 million units
24%
At least 18 million units
24%
At least 19 million units
21%
At least 20 million units
20%
At least 21 million units
20%
At least 22 million units
20%
At least 23 million units
19%
At least 24 million units

Resolution will be based on Nintendo investor relations information releases. The release concering sales numbers up to the end of the calendar year usually comes out in February of the following year. Preliminary data from information releases in August and November 2025 which should have sales numbers up to the end of the first 3 and 6 months of the Japanese fiscal year will be used to resolve some answers early if applicable.

Please ask in the comments if you have any questions.

Gaming
Nintendo
Nintendo Switch
Nintendo Switch 2
Get
Ṁ1,000
to start trading!

People are also trading

How many copies will the best selling Nintendo Switch 2 game sell in 2025?
Will the Nintendo Switch 2 sell more units in Japan than in the Americas in 2025?
20% chance
Nintendo Switch 2 systems sold in June 2025?
6.63
Will a Nintendo Switch 2 budget model be released before 2029?
82% chance
Will the Nintendo Switch 2 outsell the Nintendo Switch by 2030?
16% chance
How many copies (in millions) will the Nintendo Switch sell by the end of fiscal year 2027?
164
Will the Nintendo Switch outsell the Nintendo DS before 2026?
88% chance
Will the Nintendo Switch become the best-selling game console of all time by outselling the Playstation 2 before 2026?
11% chance
Will a first party Nintendo game sell for 100$ on the Switch 2 in 2025?
5% chance
Will the Nintendo Switch outsell the Sony PlayStation 2?
56% chance
Sort by:

https://www.nintendo.co.jp/corporate/release/en/2025/250611.html

opened a Ṁ15,000 NO at 38% order

@jks would you like to bet a lot on 25 million YES at 38%? i put a limit order up

sold Ṁ0 NO

1 million resolves yes.

bought Ṁ9 YES

@121 wanna place some big NO bets on this market? would love to negotiate

opened a Ṁ6,000 YES at 55% order

@121 limit order up on 5mil if you want to fill it

@121 sorry my bad, let me free up some mana

opened a Ṁ1,500 YES at 55% order

@121 order is back up

People are also trading

How many copies will the best selling Nintendo Switch 2 game sell in 2025?
Will the Nintendo Switch 2 sell more units in Japan than in the Americas in 2025?
20% chance
Nintendo Switch 2 systems sold in June 2025?
6.63
Will a Nintendo Switch 2 budget model be released before 2029?
82% chance
Will the Nintendo Switch 2 outsell the Nintendo Switch by 2030?
16% chance
How many copies (in millions) will the Nintendo Switch sell by the end of fiscal year 2027?
164
Will the Nintendo Switch outsell the Nintendo DS before 2026?
88% chance
Will the Nintendo Switch become the best-selling game console of all time by outselling the Playstation 2 before 2026?
11% chance
Will a first party Nintendo game sell for 100$ on the Switch 2 in 2025?
5% chance
Will the Nintendo Switch outsell the Sony PlayStation 2?
56% chance
© Manifold Markets, Inc.•Terms•Privacy