Will there be 100 or more homicides in Portland, Oregon in 2024?
4
86
Ṁ73Ṁ130
2025
23%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Market Resolution
This market will resolve YES if:
There are 100 or more homicide offenses between 1 Jan 2024 to 31 Dec 2024
This market will resolve No if:
There are fewer than 100 homicide offenses between 1 Jan 2024 and 31 Dec 2024
Number of homicide offenses is determined according to the Portland Police Bureau website. The Portland Police Bureau reports using the National Incident-Based Reporting System (NIBRS) maintained by the FBI.
Disclaimer
I do not bet on markets I create in order to avoid motivated reasoning. Any changes to market description will be noted in a change log.
Get Ṁ200 play money
Related questions
Will more than 1000 people die in a conflict between Israel and Hezbollah/Lebanon during 2024?
52% chance
Will a single shooting incident kill at least 20 people in the US during 2024?
48% chance
Will there be more homicides in 2024 than in 2023?
44% chance
☠️ Will More Than 650 Mass Shootings Occur Within The United States In 2024?
62% chance
Will homicides return to pre-BLM levels by 2030?
51% chance
Will there be a new serial killer in the United States in 2024?
33% chance
Will there be 2,000 or more drug overdose deaths recorded in King County, WA, USA in 2028?
48% chance
Will the 2024 Oregon voter turnout be higher than 2020 Oregon voter turnout?
69% chance
Will any journalists in Oregon be criminalized due to their professional activities in 2024?
55% chance
Will any of the following Western countries experience a national homicide rate above 10 per 100,000 per year before 2030?
40% chance