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MANIFOLD
Will I make mana on this market?
4
Ṁ100Ṁ223
Jun 23
89%
chance

Resolution criteria

  • YES: My (the creator's) net mana profit directly associated with this market is strictly greater than 0 at the time of resolution. This includes all of my trading gains or losses on this market, creator fees, unique trader bonuses, and any other platform rewards, minus any creation or promotion costs.

  • NO: My net mana profit from this market is 0 or negative at the time of resolution.

  • Source of truth: My transaction history and portfolio breakdown for this specific market. I will self-resolve this market honestly based on my net balance sheet once all other trades are settled.

Background

This is a self-referential market predicting whether I (the creator) will successfully profit in mana (Manifold's platform currency) by creating and interacting with this market. On Manifold Markets, creators can gain mana through active trading on their own markets, collecting creator fees from trading volume, or earning bonuses. Conversely, they may lose mana if their bets resolve against them or if trade volume fails to recoup creation costs.

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Ṁ1,000
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