Will Russia retaliate militarily on any non-participating member of NATO before the end of 2025?
➕
Plus
6
Ṁ1290
2026
17%
chance

Resolves yes if Russia conducts a military operation against any NATO member (as of November 2024), without that member having declared a war, or conducted a military operation against Russia.

Countries providing military, humanitarian, or financial aide are not considered participating.

Get
Ṁ1,000
and
S3.00
© Manifold Markets, Inc.Terms + Mana-only TermsPrivacyRules