Conditional on NATO declaring a No-Fly Zone anywhere in Ukraine, will a nuclear weapon be launched in combat in 2022?
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Ṁ3947resolved Jan 17
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Given that this question about a NATO No-Fly Zone anywhere in Ukraine resolves positively:
https://www.metaculus.com/questions/10052/nato-enforced-nfz-in-ukraine/
This market resolves to YES in the event that a nuclear weapon is confirmed to be launched for combat, non-testing purposes before Jan 1, 2023, anywhere in the world.
Mar 7, 5:47pm: N.B. Market resolves to N/A if NATO does not declare any No-Fly Zone over Ukraine, decided by resolution of https://www.metaculus.com/questions/10052/nato-enforced-nfz-in-ukraine/
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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