Will Joe Biden trip up or fall over again before the end of 2023?
127
843
1.3K
resolved Oct 17
Resolved
YES

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Why did @Luca3f84 get 4 fivestar reviews and not 1 one to fourstar review?

Please correct me, if I'm wrong. I just want to make sure, I'm right with this one before rating.

@Eliza resolved this question as a trustworthy user with great reviews. Despite the fact, that this question has been a little bit (in my eyes unnecessary) controversial, the user didn't respond to comments or even resolved the question. We are rating @Luca3f84 and not @Eliza under this question.

predicted YES

@Lion what you're saying is not represented at all in the user interface.

@stony what are you talking about? I wrote this comment 5 days ago, of course his interface has changed. He still hasn't replied to any comments, etc.

predicted YES

@stony That is you rating him!?! I talked about his reviews on his user's profile 6 days ago.

predicted YES

@Lion I didn't realize some admin had to resolve it, as it's not clearly indicated in the rating interface, hence the 5 stars.

@Luca3f84 If you disagree with this resolution, we can unresolve it.

predicted NO

@Eliza thank you! I've been on hiatus, sorry team

predicted YES

im going to lose my mind on this one. HE TRIPPED UP. my god.

bought Ṁ95 of YES

@gnome yeah like... i think under good faith reading of the question, this should resolve yes

predicted YES

@DanW Are you saying he didn't 'suddenly go down [...] towards the ground without intending to'? https://dictionary.cambridge.org/dictionary/english/fall

predicted NO

@Frogswap I don't think he fell, no. At most he stumbled.

predicted YES

He definitely tripped! Are you saying there's a difference between "trip" and "trip up"?

  1. This is definitely not the only interpretation of 'trip up'.
    https://www.wordnik.com/words/trip%20up - To fall or stumble.
    https://idioms.thefreedictionary.com/trip+up - To trip, stumble, or lose one's footing.

  2. The 'or' in the title shows that OP thought of the two as different things - and the sentence was written in a way to suggest that to the people betting. You can fall over without tripping, and you can trip without falling over. Imagine if the title was "Will he die or get killed?". The "or get killed" is redundant, since if he got killed, he also would've died. But if you change the title to; "Will he be a victim of manslaughter, or get murdered?", the use of the or makes sense. So the reasonable reading of the title of this post is that 'trip up' and 'fall' have different meanings.

predicted YES
predicted YES

I recommend posting in the please resolve channel on the discord

predicted YES

@Joshua LETS GO BABY LETS GO

predicted YES

So who has the cajones to resolve this obvious YES

Never mind, the title didn't only say 'fall over', it said 'trip up OR fall over'. This definitely should be resolved YES.

predicted YES

We really will argue about anything when a market creator is inactive and there's a lot of mana up for grabs😅

But yeah "trip up" is 100% unambiguous to me.

bought Ṁ10 of YES

Taking into account his health, age, the physical and mental demands of his job and the previous events. I believe there is more than a 75% chance of him falling again before the new year maybe even higher if we count private settings as well.

predicted YES

@PGeyer insane this hasnt been resolved 😵‍💫

bought Ṁ100 of NO

@gnome Is that “falling over”?? If he was really “falling over” it would be all over the news.

@PGeyer Correct, not a fall over, no, but a trip up, yes, as many news sources that covered it referred to it as (a trip). It was covered by many, many news sources. Please do a search. It was on CNN that I first saw the video, before I ever encountered this market.

Just checked, and Fox unsurprisingly covered it, too, as a trip.

It’s not big big news because we all know it happens now. He’s got balance issues, no shock there, and he is an active man with cameras on him any time he’s in the public.

Again, I have zero in this market. And I understand the market maker here has some time discretion on resolving the question. No problem, just providing info.