MANIFOLD
Who is the real lsusr?
16
Ṁ4.3kṀ8.4k
resolved Jan 1
Resolved
YES
Is Maitreya secretly the real lsusr?
Resolved
NO
Is ThirdEyeJoe secretly the real lsusr?
Resolved
NO
Is lsusr (author of rules clarification) secretly the real lsusr?
Resolved
NO
Is pulwat secretly the real lsusr?
Resolved
NO
Is lsdev secretly the real lsusr?
Resolved
NO
Is xhnk7jwvqj-max secretly the real lsusr?
Resolved
NO
Is MeditationsOnShrimp secretly the real lsusr?
Resolved
NO
Is M_Chouchani secretly the real lsusr?
Resolved
NO
Is artdeco secretly the real lsusr?

I, lsusr, am hosting an online tournament where players write in the style of lsusr. Who is the real lsusr? Who is an imposter?

https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/dr5gZbyPqeKJCpaPL/usd500-write-like-lsusr-competition

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bought Ṁ250 NO

The die is cast

bought Ṁ10 NO

holy

Sorry, I don't know your writing well enough otherwise I would love to try.

@Eliza If you're looking for references, you can find authentic writings at https://www.lsusr.com/.

Can more than 1 resolve YES?

@Quroe More than one, or even none!

(Per the competition description on LW—you may expect the final number of YES’s to be between zero and all of them [inclusive]—lsusr may or may not have entered any number of entries in disguise—but real lsusr entries have to conform to his standards for truthful-/usefulness [paraphrased]).

(Made naive bets by “reading all the posts for lsusr vibes” [and Life Star for entertainment / comparison]—but not an AI analysis. I would not be surprised if my YES’s were lsusr—though they might be effortful imitators—but I would be surprised if my NO’s were [mostly by expectations of what lsusr would not post].)

opened a Ṁ200 YES at 25% order

(Added some matching small limit orders.)

@TannerNewell I'm curious to find out whether you got this right. Maybe let me know after the market resolves?

@Lsusr Retrospective:

All 5 of the easy NO's panned out—mostly based on "lsusr wouldn't think this was valuable to post…"—which left pulwat, Maitreya, and artdeco as "I could see these being lsusr…".

artdeco's "[Book Review] • → 🚹 → •" feels… perhaps slightly out-of-character, but I could see it as an entry-in-disguise.

Maitreya's "Human Values" seems reasonably-in-character, maybe a bit meta in the second half, reasonable overall.

But pulwat's "Orpheus' Basilisk"… well, I am surprised it's not the real lsusr!—and I would judge it to be "the most lsusr" of the contest entries overall.

bought Ṁ3 NO

Please add liquidity

@NzJack0n I have added Ṁ4,000 in liquidity.

bought Ṁ1 YES

pay 2, win 1.5, who knows what the question was

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