This market resolves to YES if Shinjiro Koizumi is elected as the president of the Liberal Democratic Party (LDP) in the upcoming leadership election and subsequently becomes Japan's Prime Minister by October 15, 2025.
Koizumi is currently serving as Minister of Agriculture and is considered one of the top contenders to replace Ishiba. According to CNN, "Shinjiro Koizumi, the telegenic political scion who has gained prominence as Ishiba's farm minister tasked with trying to cap soaring prices, is another possible successor." Multiple analysts have identified him as one of the most likely candidates.
Resolution Criteria: This market resolves based on official announcements from the Japanese government or credible news sources confirming Koizumi's appointment as Prime Minister by the specified date. Check https://www.kantei.go.jp/foreign/index-e.html for official confirmation.
1,000