Will Tom Explosionsandfire successfully synthesize a cubical carbon skeleton by end of 2023?

13

250Ṁ3605

resolved Oct 6

Resolved

YES

1H

6H

1D

1W

1M

ALL

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=9rI147CJqX4

Dr. Tom Explosionsandfire (probably not his real name) is an Australian PhD physicist and Youtube chemist who has has had a longstanding program of synthesizing cubane, possibly functionalized cubane. At the end of the linked video, he vows to release a video in which he successfully synthesizes cubane by the end of 2023.

The market will resolve YES if Tom does in fact manage to both synthesize cubane and release a video confirming and detailing his having done so by the end of 2023, and NO if he does not. In the spirit of kindness and avoiding overnarrowness the market will resolve YES if he synthesizes any cubical carbon skeleton without synthesizing actual literal cubane.

The market will resolve to some outcome by 2024-2-1. Lorxus, the author, explicitly affirms the possibility, however slight, that this may result in a misresolution.

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