Will the Tontine surviving player count be 400 or less as of 2023-7-4?
19
350แน€7356
resolved Jul 4
Resolved
NO

https://tontine.cash/ is a MSCHF game. On 2021-12-27, 7141 players each paid $10 into a central pot and have been required to check in at least once a day by midnight EST/EDT or else be eliminated. The last remaining player will win the pot. As of 2023-3-25, 493 players remain.

The market resolves YES if the living count is 400 or less as of 12:05 AM EST on 2023-7-4, and NO if the living count is 401 or more at that time. It resolves early to YES if the living population should fall to or below 400 before that time, and to N/A if the game is canceled for any reason.

Get
แน€1,000
to start trading!

๐Ÿ… Top traders

#NameTotal profit
1แน€665
2แน€32
3แน€22
4แน€4
5แน€2
Sort by:
predictedNO

408 > 400. This market resolves NO.

predictedYES

Only 1 behind

predictedYES

Basically need 1 a day atp in order to resolve yes

predictedYES

@jeremiahsamroo still holding steady at 1 a day

My current projection is about 405 left alive. See how that pans out.

ยฉ Manifold Markets, Inc.โ€ขTerms + Mana-only Termsโ€ขPrivacyโ€ขRules