Will the Tontine surviving player count be 341 (1/21) or less as of 2023-10-31?
16
290แน€8056
resolved Oct 25
Resolved
YES

https://tontine.cash/ is a MSCHF game. On 2021-12-27, 7141 players each paid $10 into a central pot and have been required to check in at least once a day by midnight EST/EDT or else be eliminated. The last remaining player will win the pot. As of 2023-4-29, 460 players remain.

The market resolves YES if the living count is 341 (1/21 of the original population) or less as of 12:05 AM EST on 2023-10-31, and NO if the living count is 342 or more at that time. It resolves early to YES if the living population should fall to or below 341 before that time, and to N/A if the game is canceled for any reason.

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predictedYES

So much for steady decline

predictedYES

@ChristopherRandles Surprisingly much has been going on!

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