Will the Tontine surviving player count be 396 (1/18) or less as of 2023-7-4?
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αΉ7089resolved Jul 4
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https://tontine.cash/ is a MSCHF game. On 2021-12-27, 7141 players each paid $10 into a central pot and have been required to check in at least once a day by midnight EST/EDT or else be eliminated. The last remaining player will win the pot. As of 2023-3-27, 492 players remain.
The market resolves YES if the living count is 396 (1/18 of the original population) or less as of 12:05 AM EST on 2023-7-4, and NO if the living count is 397 or more at that time. It resolves early to YES if the living population should fall to or below 396 before that time, and to N/A if the game is canceled for any reason.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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Updated closing time by one minute purely to make the Tontine Prophecy Group work better. (Closing soon now also sorts death counts.)
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