Will the Tontine surviving player count be 396 (1/18) or less as of 2023-7-4? | Manifold Markets

Will the Tontine surviving player count be 396 (1/18) or less as of 2023-7-4?

17

closes Jul 4

49%

chance

1D

1W

1M

ALL

https://tontine.cash/ is a MSCHF game. On 2021-12-27, 7141 players each paid $10 into a central pot and have been required to check in at least once a day by midnight EST/EDT or else be eliminated. The last remaining player will win the pot. As of 2023-3-27, 492 players remain.

The market resolves YES if the living count is 396 (1/18 of the original population) or less as of 12:05 AM EST on 2023-7-4, and NO if the living count is 397 or more at that time. It resolves early to YES if the living population should fall to or below 396 before that time, and to N/A if the game is canceled for any reason.

Tontine Prophecy

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Will the Magic: The Gathering reserved list be removed or broken before 2030?28%

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