During which ~week will the Tontine surviving player count reach 400?
16
845Ṁ12kresolved Jul 14
100%98%
July 9-15 2023
1.5%
July 16-22 2023
0.2%
June 13-July 8 2023
0.3%
July 23-31 2023
0.1%
August 1 2023 or later
https://tontine.cash/ is a MSCHF game. On 2021-12-27, 7141 players each paid $10 into a central pot and have been required to check in at least once a day by midnight EST/EDT or else be eliminated. The last remaining player will win the pot. As of 2023-6-13, 422 players remain.
The market resolves to the choice whose date range includes the first day on which the living count is 400 or less, and resolves at 12:05 AM EST on that day or as soon as possible after that. It resolves to "August 1 2023 or later" on default market closure, which is August 1 2023 at 12:05 AM EST. It resolves to to N/A if the game is canceled for any reason.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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