Every market here: https://manifold.markets/browse/tontine-prophecy?q=tontine+prophecy&s=newest&f=open&ct=ALL

https://tontine.cash/ is a MSCHF game. On 2021-12-27, 7141 players each paid $10 into a central pot and have been required to check in at least once a day by midnight EST/EDT or else be eliminated. The last remaining player will win the pot. As of 2024-4-4, 275 players remain.

To qualify for the bounty, place at least a 1-marble bet on every YES/NO market and each numeric market, and at least two 1-marble (or larger) bets on different choices in each multi-market, and hold all those positions (don't sell them) for at least a day. Then come here, and announce that you have done so. For additional points, include a haiku about Tontine, math, or foxes.

This will get you a bounty of 50 marbles, and particularly good overall attempts - be it through good clarifying questions, bold bets, dedicated attempts at prediction, or just a really good poem - will get extra marbles at Lorxus's discretion!

Lorxus will happily answer clarifying questions about Tontine here and on market-specific topics on the relevant market pages.