Putin's official successor will be Kiriyenko but then the Patrushevs will try and launch a coup
4
24
100
2036
40%
chance

Simple yes/no market tangentially related to @strutheo's existing market.

https://manifold.markets/strutheo/who-will-be-vladimir-putins-success?r=TG9yZWxhaQ

I propose the scenario for post-Putin Russia that Putin's official successor will be Kiriyenko but then the Patrushevs will try and launch a coup. What do you think?

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Is it a conditional market? i.e. does it n/a if the first point about the successor doesn't happen?

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