Will Russia have a successful peaceful transition of power from Vladimir Putin to the next ruler(s)?
10
86
Ṁ352Ṁ210
2075
51%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Get Ṁ200 play money
Related questions
Sort by:
@JuJumper Aha, so it's less that he's required to hand it off, and more that the power scramble afterwards does not get too violent.
(Might be good to operationalize "peaceful"; I'd be mildly surprised if no-one would die or get imprisoned or exiled, and also fairly surprised if it got to publicly-declared clashes.)
@mxxun Something like "no internal armed fights for power, and no control lost of any region previously controlled".
Related questions
Will the next leader of Russia after Putin be married at the time of taking control of leadership?
68% chance
Will the next leader of Russia after Putin be Russian Orthodox?
61% chance
Will the next leader of Russia after Putin have children at the time of taking control of leadership?
77% chance
Will Vladimir Putin be the leader of Russia at the end of 2031?
24% chance
Will the next leader of Russia after Putin be a member of his family?
20% chance
Will there be a successful coup in Russia by the end of 2024?
12% chance
Will the next leader of Russia after Putin be older than he was?
21% chance
Will Zelenskyy's tenure as president end with a peaceful democratic transition?
86% chance
Will Vladimir Putin be in power at the conclusion of the Russia-Ukraine war?
63% chance
Will Vladimir Putin be President of Russia at the end of 2030?
29% chance