Will Russia have a successful peaceful transition of power from Vladimir Putin to the next ruler(s)?
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Would "Putin dies from natural causes, standard procedures for this occasion kick in, and eventually a new president is elected" count as successful and peaceful?

@mxxun yes it would. "Peaceful" is the key word here.

@JuJumper Aha, so it's less that he's required to hand it off, and more that the power scramble afterwards does not get too violent.

(Might be good to operationalize "peaceful"; I'd be mildly surprised if no-one would die or get imprisoned or exiled, and also fairly surprised if it got to publicly-declared clashes.)

@mxxun Something like "no internal armed fights for power, and no control lost of any region previously controlled".