Will OpenAI dissolve by July 2025?
Plus
63
Ṁ68922025
11%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Resolves according to my subjective judgment. I am open to argument.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000and
3.00
1,0003.00Sort by:
Would any of these count as "dissolving":
- The non-profit dissolves and OpenAI becomes a normal for-profit
- OpenAI changes it's name but remains basically the same
- The US government takes control of OpenAI, but the company is still basically doing similar things
- OpenAI merges with a much bigger company
- OpenAI merges with a much smaller company
- OpenAI leadership and most employees leave but the company still exists (a la Inflection)
Related questions
Related questions
Who will still be working at OpenAI in January 2025?
Will OpenAI's undergo significant restructuring by 2025?
50% chance
Will OpenAI disappear before 2034?
34% chance
Will OpenAI's structure change?
47% chance
Will OpenAI exist as an independent entity by 2025?
82% chance
Will OpenAI become nothing by 2030?
What will happen to OpenAI next year?
Will the for-profit arm of OpenAI be shut down or otherwise separated from the non-profit arm before 01/01/2026?
40% chance
Will OpenAI abandon their non-profit structure by the end of 2025?
89% chance
Will OpenAI be dissolved at any point in 2024
7% chance