When will LoganTurner leave FOLDED? (N/A if winner)
2
1kṀ265
Jan 1
November 10, 2025
14%
September
21%
October
32%
November
34%
December

If I am not the last player standing in FOLDED, when will I be officially eliminated?

Resolves to the day in UTC after the FOLDED account "LoganTurner" fails to check in. (Ex: If I do not check in any time during August 30th UTC, will resolve August 31st.) Resolves N/A if this account wins. I will try to bet my actual expectation.

Get
Ṁ1,000
to start trading!
Sort by:
bought Ṁ50 NO

Does this market form support resolving months to NO before the final date is known?

@SimonWestlake It doesn’t. I liked that its headline shows the average date, but if you think a market with independent months or weeks would be more useful, I can make one.

That would certainly make it more compelling to bet heavily on nearer-term options, but it's up to you.

© Manifold Markets, Inc.TermsPrivacy